TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x605a…bf3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
307
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20036.5%73 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 200 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$421.5
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.4
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Cucurella: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$38.75
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 200 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$156.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$54.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$58.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$26.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$20.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.1%+$40.07
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+70.8%+$9.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$13.75
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$28.8
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$27.41
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$32.66
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+333.9%+$36.73
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lille: Jerome Kym vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$11.45
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.66
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$38.27
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sergei Pavlovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.23
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.35
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+43.5%+$30.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.