NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21f2a16078a8fa010cf7d7ff57782166c61f2069f3c98b6392eb6ab180a4bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Warriors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,085,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,194,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Warriors | 40c | 354,123$141,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,529 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 57c | 302,500$171,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,995.41 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Magic | 43c | 285,016$123,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,008.12 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 69c | 126,264$87,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,797.27 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 41c | 120,000$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,799.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 39c | 104,844$41,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,456.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 60c | 94,946$56,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,018.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 60c | 77,140$46,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,321.6 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors | 61c | 65,851$40,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,053.49 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 41c | 65,000$26,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,349.99 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 61c | 58,603$36,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,023.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 57c | 52,423$29,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,778.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 41c | 40,465$16,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,982.12 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Warriors | 59c | 38,500$22,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,644.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 39c | 33,797$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,462.53 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 47c | 32,025$15,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,126.4 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Magic | 41c | 28,912$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,032.21 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 43c | 27,609$11,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,763.48 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 58c | 25,981$14,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.06 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Warriors | 58c | 25,852$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,994 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 38c | 25,066$9,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,642.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Warriors | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Magic | 40c | 25,000$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,049.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Magic | 40c | 24,252$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,550.92 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Warriors | 4c | 22,011$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 62c | 18,977$11,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,193.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 39c | 18,842$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.2 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 37c | 18,802$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,757.41 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Magic | 41c | 18,644$7,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Magic | 44c | 18,340$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340.38 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…4292backed Magic | 40c | 17,680$7,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d0…1620backed Magic | 40c | 17,250$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…e38ebacked Warriors | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…5ffabacked Magic | 41c | 13,535$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Warriors | 5c | 13,071$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.82 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 60c | 12,812$7,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,635.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 62c | 12,635$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.23 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…f3cdbacked Warriors | 60c | 11,680$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…02edbacked Warriors | 60c | 11,650$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…74c9backed Warriors | 60c | 11,600$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 28c | 11,266$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.84 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 37c | 11,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Magic | 39c | 11,000$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,669.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 10,965$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 56c | 10,781$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,037.61 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…84f3backed Magic | 40c | 10,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 42c | 10,246$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.37 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Warriors | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 39c | 9,963$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.78 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed Warriors | 59c | 9,818$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…c3fdbacked Magic | 40c | 9,417$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…8826backed Warriors | 59c | 9,350$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…74e8backed Magic | 40c | 9,200$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…cc90backed Warriors | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…ab22backed Warriors | 43c | 8,901$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 21c | 8,802$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.66 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Magic | 60c | 8,491$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.52 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Magic | 34c | 8,414$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.26 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Warriors | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Magic | 41c | 8,313$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.6 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 59c | 8,184$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.38 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Warriors | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…8a9abacked Warriors | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Warriors | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Magic | 40c | 7,845$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Magic | 39c | 7,720$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.19 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 66c | 7,586$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…5f44backed Warriors | 60c | 7,550$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Magic | 43c | 7,510$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.91 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…f21dbacked Warriors | 59c | 7,502$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 39c | 7,497$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.08 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ea5dbacked Magic | 41c | 7,493$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 39c | 7,219$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 5c | 7,022$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Warriors | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…5142backed Warriors | 61c | 6,700$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Warriors | 36c | 6,565$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.44 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Magic | 40c | 6,430$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.69 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 53c | 6,389$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 74c | 6,328$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.57 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Warriors | 45c | 6,320$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.85 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Magic | 42c | 6,276$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.97 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 41c | 6,268$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.51 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 52c | 6,000$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Magic | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.95 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Warriors | 61c | 5,778$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.43 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Warriors | 43c | 5,500$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 40c | 5,158$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Magic | 40c | 5,150$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.29 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Warriors | 39c | 5,147$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.73 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Warriors | 1c | 5,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…71b3backed Warriors | 61c | 5,000$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Warriors | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Warriors | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 21c | 4,997$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.19 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Warriors | 41c | 4,849$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Warriors | 49c | 4,708$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Warriors | 56c | 4,689$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.83 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Magic won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.