NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c466a8f733f27454b2ba9a87cdf6af7ded984c85d84e9e005784891a33d802c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Warriors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Magic | 55c | 38,143$20,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,164.49 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 45c | 24,001$10,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800.57 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Warriors | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 48c | 13,009$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.42 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 52c | 11,294$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 47c | 10,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 48c | 8,199$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.45 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 52c | 5,105$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.45 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 46c | 3,750$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 54c | 3,638$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.53 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 52c | 3,371$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.89 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 3,058$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 54c | 3,017$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 47c | 2,738$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 48c | 2,646$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 53c | 2,493$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.71 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…eae7backed Warriors | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3235…5a6bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Warriors | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 47c | 1,776$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.72 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Warriors | 50c | 1,604$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Magic | 50c | 1,573$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…e803backed Warriors | 52c | 1,413$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 46c | 1,299$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Warriors | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Warriors | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…aba4backed Warriors | 53c | 870$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…9626backed Magic | 47c | 870$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +82%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Warriors | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Warriors | 52c | 801.48$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.3 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Warriors | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Magic | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Magic | 51c | 698.47$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.25 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Warriors | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Warriors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Magic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Warriors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Magic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Magic | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Warriors | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Warriors | 48c | 287.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Magic | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…65edbacked Warriors | 46c | 248.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Warriors | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Warriors | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Magic | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Magic | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Warriors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Warriors | 52c | 195.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Warriors | 51c | 174.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Warriors | 50c | 161.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 49c | 149.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Warriors | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Warriors | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Magic | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Warriors | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Warriors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Warriors | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 48c | 100.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Warriors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Magic | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Magic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Warriors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Warriors | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Warriors | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…31bdbacked Warriors | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Magic | 51c | 70.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Magic | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Warriors | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…eaedbacked Warriors | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…6a72backed Warriors | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…4ed2backed Magic | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Warriors | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Warriors | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…c0a3backed Magic | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…1e80backed Warriors | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Warriors | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Magic | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Warriors | 49c | 42.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 54c | 41.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…eb20backed Warriors | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Warriors | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Warriors | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Magic | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Magic won
- Warriors vs. MagicMagic won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.