Token Launches · resolved market
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af05d4f9fd8cf4845e3e3b53f1104ac1736d0a3030c51161fd4ea89b0096284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,702 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf98d…9df5backed Yes | 0c | 8,335$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…234fbacked Yes | 41c | 7,266$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed No | 80c | 6,236$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…a604backed Yes | 35c | 5,929$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…f5e5backed Yes | 2c | 5,271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…3960backed Yes | 1c | 4,548$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 1c | 3,931$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…95f3backed No | 66c | 3,532$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 35c | 3,491$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.22 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e6d7backed Yes | 21c | 3,424$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…1a11backed Yes | 18c | 3,316$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 52c | 3,274$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.62 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…5d01backed No | 66c | 3,085$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…c482backed Yes | 8c | 2,840$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a229backed Yes | 38c | 2,373$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 29c | 2,318$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 22c | 2,247$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.68 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 4c | 2,188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 2,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…4e81backed No | 69c | 2,051$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,822$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…c7c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,756$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…9a03backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…17debacked No | 69c | 1,440$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…7784backed No | 58c | 1,391$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 70c | 1,350$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…516bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,267$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked No | 71c | 1,202$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…98d2backed No | 67c | 1,131$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 50c | 1,100$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…809dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…183cbacked Yes | 22c | 954.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…d844backed No | 48c | 935$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 919.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 30c | 859.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 46c | 845.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…0991backed Yes | 23c | 763.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…ac7ebacked Yes | 3c | 697.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…fd92backed No | 67c | 650$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked No | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…e5acbacked Yes | 3c | 564.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed No | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…0fe2backed Yes | 32c | 523.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…dfd3backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…47c8backed No | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked No | 66c | 450$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 32c | 440$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 410.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 24c | 392.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…03a6backed No | 68c | 366.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 36c | 335.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 49c | 305.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed No | 78c | 281.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Yes | 24c | 276.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ea23backed Yes | 4c | 253.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…6d42backed Yes | 59c | 237.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…3efcbacked Yes | 34c | 220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…b986backed No | 70c | 208.46$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…a58abacked Yes | 49c | 204.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…33cdbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…0f26backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…2813backed No | 80c | 199.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22a…cb02backed No | 69c | 198.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed Yes | 6c | 197.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 185.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…2bfabacked No | 50c | 173.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked No | 65c | 164.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…cdf1backed No | 79c | 161.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes | 23c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…407abacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 152.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…7122backed No | 77c | 149$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…05fdbacked Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…aababacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a82…54cdbacked Yes | 11c | 122.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d9…a9c1backed Yes | 34c | 122.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 120.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 49c | 120.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…d610backed Yes | 44c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 79c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?this page
- Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes won
- Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.