Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321253d8cad65351d70828d265c95a06c326eaa5a00dad780d6782fd068aff86

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $200,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $228,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xeee8…6e70backed Yes	2c	20,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…3b94backed Yes	40c	17,218$6,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,887.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa254…3426backed No	60c	16,659$9,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,664.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed No	76c	10,522$8,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,497.59	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes	24c	8,530$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,051.85	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4225…3d5fbacked Yes	9c	4,030$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e2…459dbacked Yes	9c	4,008$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-61%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked No	78c	3,858$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.1	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e6d7backed Yes	35c	3,700$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	3,653$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.98	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7bc6backed Yes	25c	3,100$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e27…c659backed Yes	2c	3,041$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.19	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x987a…a94abacked Yes	22c	2,962$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7472…645bbacked No	76c	2,742$2,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.59	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+33%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b1a…68fabacked Yes	2c	2,281$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff99…f5e5backed Yes	5c	2,160$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98d…9df5backed Yes	1c	2,084$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf626…f9f0backed Yes	4c	2,052$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-54%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	24.4%32 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	22c	1,921$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.07	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,855$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f8…c2f4backed No	75c	1,500$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf650…bff4backed Yes	4c	1,447$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes	28c	1,422$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.53	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.37per pick	47cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3893…6f49backed Yes	6c	1,241$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf6…ac7ebacked Yes	5c	1,133$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.67	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a1…c482backed Yes	3c	1,108$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked Yes	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f66…a5a7backed No	79c	1,016$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca4d…27fbbacked No	79c	1,016$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.79	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2954…1204backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	973.12$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.14	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5636…fc2cbacked Yes	6c	909$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x545c…3960backed Yes	5c	878$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes	6c	866.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6e…2be1backed Yes	8c	836.38$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde60…4bd3backed Yes	11c	822.89$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519e…9e6abacked Yes	38c	796.23$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb3…df33backed No	62c	720$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	700$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	594.89$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	525$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Yes	12c	514.25$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	5c	499.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22a…cb02backed Yes	25c	499.99$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b5…0a9bbacked No	72c	490$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes	6c	486.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d6…2815backed No	65c	481.45$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked No	77c	453.75$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.33	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…4defbacked Yes	4c	425.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ee…0991backed Yes	37c	409.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa5…427abacked No	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aec…28c1backed Yes	13c	399.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	396.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf7…62b0backed Yes	28c	389.59$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ba…be9fbacked No	61c	385.65$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ba…e5acbacked Yes	8c	369.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a5…4a73backed Yes	31c	330$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc101…e6d1backed Yes	43c	317.39$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	181	44.8%81 W · 100 L	+23.4wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a97…df78backed No	61c	297.99$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes	36c	293.37$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes	42c	291$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.12	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7b3…c4f2backed Yes	37c	267.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	23c	240$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	23c	230.26$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.44	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes	16c	221.66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95f6…6e6fbacked Yes	23c	220.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No	54c	217.39$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29e8…9bdbbacked Yes	7c	214.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked Yes	20c	210$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+10.9wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c0…df28backed Yes	5c	203.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	62c	188.2$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.28	153	62.7%96 W · 57 L	+22.4wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc2f3…ab36backed Yes	7c	187.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afe…9386backed Yes	28c	180.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	76c	176.94$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.41	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe036…140ebacked Yes	35c	150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7781…ea23backed Yes	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7991…81d3backed Yes	24c	130$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…f534backed Yes	41c	122.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	26c	115.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	465	20.4%95 W · 370 L	-68.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-60%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2bf2…37cfbacked Yes	30c	103$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…0230backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x163f…1cb8backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…9fadbacked No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f8…a1afbacked Yes	22c	92.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…63c3backed Yes	41c	91.66$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	19c	90.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.27	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d67…c163backed No	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64a5…e5a0backed Yes	38c	80$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0597…cd71backed Yes	43c	76.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.31	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+106.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f07…581bbacked Yes	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95fd…d401backed Yes	30c	67.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b7…faccbacked Yes	40c	63.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	24c	62.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes won
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event