TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9aec…28c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$42.55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$101.76
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$152.55
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.37
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+401.4%+$366.89
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$39.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$28.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+145.7%+$50.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+71.3%+$14.26
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+80.8%+$25.04
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Girona win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.84
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.54
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Solana reach $180 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Solana reach $160 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.25
Will Solana reach $170 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.63
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.96
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$99.37
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$16.37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+70%+$20.45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.01
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$19.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+120.2%+$42.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+111.5%+$33.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.