Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2accda8bf8ff4ef0963e5467b529ec8dd88c73666215069af6639b8adcd37f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 16c | 24,317$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.65 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 70c | 13,704$9,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,557.06 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 1c | 11,006$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 9,393$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.61 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 8,986$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 8,004$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 7,477$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 15c | 6,800$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 71c | 6,140$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.54 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 70c | 5,338$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.67 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 1c | 4,594$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 4,277$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.39 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 26c | 4,022$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 3,411$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.55 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 70c | 3,234$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.26 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 3,210$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,100$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 79c | 2,483$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.08 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,965$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.83 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 75c | 1,847$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 30c | 1,771$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 19c | 1,628$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 25c | 1,604$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 30c | 1,411$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.7 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 22c | 1,285$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 30c | 1,195$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.38 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 70c | 1,070$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 1,040$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 2c | 1,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 998.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.77 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 912$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 26c | 806$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 25c | 700$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 56c | 624.28$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 70c | 600$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 530.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 58c | 444.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 68c | 432.71$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…d023backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 402.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 74c | 342.85$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 80c | 337.81$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 70c | 334.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 30c | 332.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 306.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 6c | 305.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 299.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 30c | 299.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 299.45$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 19c | 297.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 22c | 287.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 71c | 256.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 76c | 249.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed No | 70c | 195.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 71c | 173.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked No | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed No | 40c | 167.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 62c | 162.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 62c | 156.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 47c | 151.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 18c | 143.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 12c | 100.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 19c | 81.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 71c | 81.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…4176backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed No | 70c | 70.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 47c | 69.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 68.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed No | 21c | 63.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 58.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 58c | 58.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…1a9dbacked No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.