Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34009c83666b3c27dfc42b38dbaea94731e6e448d2a340a74ac1e2d8c62a61bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 46c | 108,227$49,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,287.3 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…c1babacked No | 54c | 91,224$49,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,963.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 55c | 30,140$16,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,562.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 29,999$13,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,594.07 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 25,732$11,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,602.02 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 19,931$12,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,273.53 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 55c | 19,862$10,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,938.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 13,895$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.54 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 12,451$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 11,773$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 56c | 11,300$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.95 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 17c | 9,662$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 8,574$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 45c | 8,100$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.02 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 51c | 6,858$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.57 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 55c | 6,244$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 46c | 5,783$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.89 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 4,682$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.06 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 22c | 3,501$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.14 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 45c | 3,055$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.39 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 44c | 2,814$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.02 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 53c | 2,734$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 2,580$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.02 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 2,507$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,831$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,686$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 1,611$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 6c | 1,566$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 49c | 1,348$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.77 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,212$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 80c | 1,202$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 56c | 922.95$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 13c | 845$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 45c | 711.05$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 8c | 608.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 56c | 534$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 3c | 512.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 45c | 500.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 40c | 447.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 5c | 445.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…7708backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…2455backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 45c | 400.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 44c | 400.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 331.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 46c | 329.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 315.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 49c | 298.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 257.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 248.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 45c | 208.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 51c | 207.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 47c | 200.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 20c | 199.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…729ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 49c | 184$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.