Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9f70eee4088bbc335cb39ee6c76254cc636f8d0a9ce69b81ff93f1ce9818f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 23c | 4,339$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 75c | 4,113$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.25 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 3,804$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.87 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 2,492$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 79c | 2,008$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.59 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 1c | 2,004$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,756$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 2c | 1,741$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 1,680$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.09 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,515$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.48 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 8c | 1,296$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 76c | 1,218$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 2c | 999.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 76c | 851$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 12c | 834.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 26c | 803.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 698.49$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 75c | 578.5$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 27c | 557.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 24c | 515.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 74c | 514.31$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 74c | 428.23$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 7c | 378.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 307.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 300.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 23c | 299.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 280.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 7c | 238.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 237$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 75c | 220.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 192$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 184$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 159.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 18c | 139.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 15c | 133.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 74c | 132.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…a4fcbacked Yes | 23c | 126.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fd…4e90backed Yes | 25c | 119.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 90.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Yes | 23c | 87.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 25c | 80.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 76c | 80.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 26c | 73.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…a871backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 79c | 64.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…3f67backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…fa80backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…bcfebacked No | 79c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 75c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.