TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf92f…bdb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$89.96
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$93.11
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+203%+$137.35
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+218.7%+$80.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Cambridge United FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+261.7%+$52.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+203.7%+$122.24
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+84.5%+$67.62
Fulham FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+224.2%+$134.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+178.7%+$142.97
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.83
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$97.89
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$169.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.5%+$127.48
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$129.2
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$76.36
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+193.5%+$160.41
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$119.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Brugge vs. Monaco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.06
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$80.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$127.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.