TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c11,448$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over43c9,999$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,714.685052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under57c5,965$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.82850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf633…03acbacked Over72c4,879$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Over43c4,562$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c4,534$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0404727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over42c3,902$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under38c3,539$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.246245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c3,357$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.232240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.999952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over44c2,443$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.0214142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Under57c1,597$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over41c1,350$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.5836630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over71c1,030$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.44271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c856$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under40c741.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under51c659.38$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.351392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over42c641.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over64c475.13$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over61c470$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over41c447.4$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.964320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over76c421.05$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.054969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under56c420.02$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.216737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under58c394.92$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0522947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c391.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Under34c380.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under28c380.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0911144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…7023backed Over47c365.34$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x333b…5947backed Under54c365.34$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c364.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over46c363.32$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1931441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under57c350.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over59c342.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.232748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bb…b369backed Over76c335.53$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over45c332.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+198.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c309.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c286.76$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2711547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over63c261.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.47552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over61c250.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over72c248.56$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5615253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over43c232.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.65448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over45c223.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.778863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over63c202.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under37c191.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c191$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under31c186.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c162.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Over44c157.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c151.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under35c148.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over61c143.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.131070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under59c140.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8320841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under27c138.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.785131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over74c137.03$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+184.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Under17c133.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6419436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c108.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2419353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6415648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c97.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Under28c97.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Over43c96.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.16825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Over74c89.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.191250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x886d…ba65backed Under18c77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over42c74.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.115558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over43c69.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ef48backed Under58c68.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over43c68.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf256…3767backed Over43c68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0483…6df9backed Under18c66.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over64c65.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.645156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under58c64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.123360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under54c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Under40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over70c61.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.435945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under20c57.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.536852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.