Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a2765106d2c0f16c75659d1ee2ff8d659eba53d462316962d2002c30c388ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 5,868$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.4 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 71c | 2,451$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.78 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 30c | 1,852$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.53 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 3c | 1,192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 66c | 303.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 293.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 29c | 234.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 26c | 230.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 70c | 186.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 10c | 182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 30c | 153.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 19c | 150.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 22c | 146.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 71c | 139.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 115.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…a260backed Over | 70c | 72.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 67c | 63.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 69c | 57.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 65c | 47.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 23c | 45.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…1071backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 43.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 34c | 42.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 30c | 41.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 29c | 36.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Over | 69c | 36.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Over | 69c | 34.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…24dbbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…19b1backed Over | 78c | 28.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.