TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c14,432$8,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,435.562,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over54c12,801$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.054463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Under69c3,790$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under62c3,596$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.416245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,815$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9836630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over22c1,250$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.994320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over78c629.12$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under59c545.56$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.292378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over28c483.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4811144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.552254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over51c432.53$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.944553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over24c422.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over22c400$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31231441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over40c377.79$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1213142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under62c283.03$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.12737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under59c258.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4114748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over44c227.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.275448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.278744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under76c212.21$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over46c211.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.875945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over19c196.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1323353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over21c174$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over36c168.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.532352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6710330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c147.65$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over34c119.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1711856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over48c109.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.591758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.719436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Over24c108.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.56048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under56c99.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.427847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under54c93.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb8…7529backed Over54c93.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over47c92.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over23c88.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.261850%9 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9617538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c84.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under75c84.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over53c79.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.495947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…bc38backed Over44c72.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over19c71.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.76355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over54c67.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.344170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over38c66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Under37c63.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over20c62.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8112657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c60.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.826043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Over39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Over34c58.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.743016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Over36c57.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under65c57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under54c53.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc904…ca06backed Over22c51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over22c45.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.812033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Under54c43.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Under56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over24c42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9217142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over49c40.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x181d…c7e8backed Under79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Under80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.983129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Over36c33.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under65c32.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over37c31.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under80c31.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Over37c29.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x886d…ba65backed Under45c29.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over68c27.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.657544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Under58c20.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122181%17 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+45.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a1a…25cebacked Under77c18.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under79c16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.