Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3cd7e3d3097fa687a50a24af28c0945a626fb1602569478e52f9a8de1e644cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,595$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 37c | 3,177$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 59c | 550.54$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 36c | 355$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 350.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 43c | 344.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 322.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 63c | 299.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 230.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 36c | 212.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 198.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 185.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 66c | 160.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 39c | 153.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 61c | 127.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 52c | 57.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 36c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 51.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Under | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 64c | 39.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 63c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 30.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…a5a7backed Under | 68c | 23.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 68c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf147…0e61backed Under | 63c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.