TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$928,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$787,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x808d…c1babacked Yes46c233,069$106,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,198.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No53c114,338$60,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,738.653946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.984852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes2c84,880$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.8469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c65,744$36,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,978.441,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c58,335$12,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,901.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No55c57,200$31,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,739.772339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,0005337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes45c41,742$18,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,7001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No55c32,569$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,569.143345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes47c32,000$15,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0402157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c17,109$9,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,810.161,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c14,822$8,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,759.421,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes44c12,131$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,355837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No54c10,026$5,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed No61c8,626$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c7,729$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.5216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No53c5,887$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.992850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed No54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c3,756$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.9230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes21c3,705$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.0360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes3c3,379$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Yes33c2,761$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No55c2,681$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.482962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes4c2,672$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes47c2,539$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.7919662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No54c2,510$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.4923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No59c2,500$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.976240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No56c2,476$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.441752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes18c2,189$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3877553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes47c2,046$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.549058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes47c2,036$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.9121641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9405735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.996640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Yes42c1,779$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75215446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No55c1,561$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.451827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,526$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No54c1,461$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.975658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c1,393$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes4c1,296$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1112251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No55c1,206$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.0464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c1,200$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c1,192$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes42c1,181$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.963151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No55c1,155$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.792222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No53c1,147$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1716446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No54c1,132$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.891553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0822335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No55c1,130$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.51275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+80.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No59c1,108$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.323345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No53c1,094$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked No55c1,076$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No55c1,051$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.999158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes45c1,043$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe37…a96cbacked No55c1,024$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes44c999.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.998521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No52c999.25$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.644564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes46c973.89$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.993850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes47c933.13$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c928.95$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.892,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9310437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffec…2655backed Yes34c905.65$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes44c857.13$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes39c760.38$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.095918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.276238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No55c669$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.051947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No55c613.14$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1320148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes6c589.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c560.88$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7727854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No65c544.31$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Yes48c529.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No56c521$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.452339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes15c503.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.365724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes45c500$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2269055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No55c499.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes48c497.92$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23912344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c497.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Yes45c496.78$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.551020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ff5…a783backed Yes14c483.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No55c468.64$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes7c448.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.388143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No55c442.04$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+126.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes43c439.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.129656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd915…e3f7backed No57c438.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.47911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-80.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No56c426.57$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.693650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No54c404.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.045050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.