TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes31c14,332$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,916.921030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c5,084$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.621,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.971,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c4,444$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.0790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c3,749$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.754,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c3,674$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.262,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No71c3,600$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes37c3,048$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.8724147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c2,780$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.293,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes52c2,699$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.31250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.999055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c2,160$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.351,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4202560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c1,800$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No71c1,450$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No40c1,222$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes25c1,190$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.447553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes29c999.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.988521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes32c923.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.977241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes30c833.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3312338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.564240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c542.47$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes79c509.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0419652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c474.53$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No48c429.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.328241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes30c421.7$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.197534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c403.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3314427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No48c388.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes78c387.86$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c378.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c374$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c364.94$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4623947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c343$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3311037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c330.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.616838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes31c330$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x961f…ab51backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c300$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20434252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c299.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9815049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked No71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked No71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes30c280$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes59c269.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No70c266.65$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.667250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No68c229.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.625918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes30c216.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes30c200.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+53.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13617252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c199.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No69c183.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.721040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes54c175.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9312044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No70c174.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.57751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No8c167.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…fa8fbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes36c144.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.271573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+151%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes66c135.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Yes74c135.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes31c117.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.299354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No17c105$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.953030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6630956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…f023backed No70c97.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…107abacked Yes75c93.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c86.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.433844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No70c86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.228558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes58c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.337635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes68c81.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7324047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes26c72.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3114333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No70c63.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes31c61.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2913936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes40c61.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.812254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff5…a783backed No30c61.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.616836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…c2d3backed Yes30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No27c55.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.153040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No34c54.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.655752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.