Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96a7aa36dec831e3bd7e8c8a8ac1bb77590822e1eae285dadda5c6eda5df27d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 2,639$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 55c | 2,540$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 2,016$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.72 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 1,880$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 15c | 899.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 767.26$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Under | 40c | 617.27$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Over | 58c | 400.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 57c | 398.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 199.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 46c | 134.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 132.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 123.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 15c | 70.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 57.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 45c | 46.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 35.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 68c | 30.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 45c | 27.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.