Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa630cde08f8736d5a1ae91fc2b1ee75282762f4f8ea274d10ed117fe645ca34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,274$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 17c | 1,250$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 489.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 74c | 242.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 68c | 126.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 30c | 124.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 67c | 101$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 92.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 29c | 66.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afb…2eb5backed Over | 68c | 57.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 44.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Under | 79c | 12.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.