Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae147ff006e91115a1f6c8eeba9efcc4d8fe7c927e0d45bb7d4c74a4a9a5c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PEC Zwolleof FC Twente '65, PEC Zwolle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Twente '65 | 36c | 1,711$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PEC Zwolle | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 502$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.04 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Twente '65 | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PEC Zwolle | 63c | 328.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed FC Twente '65 | 52c | 325$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 265.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked FC Twente '65 | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FC Twente '65 | 52c | 57.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked FC Twente '65 | 53c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked FC Twente '65 | 53c | 54.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed PEC Zwolle | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked PEC Zwolle | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked FC Twente '65 | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed PEC Zwolle | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked PEC Zwolle | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked PEC Zwolle | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed PEC Zwolle | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed PEC Zwolle | 49c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked PEC Zwolle | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed FC Twente '65 | 52c | 20.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed FC Twente '65 | 52c | 19.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.