Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8095b21ecc172779d0ed0c3aa0d24b90d866db0ea16fe94c536c769218086b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 100,000$34,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,696.28 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 71,373$36,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,984.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 45c | 31,224$13,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,286.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 55c | 28,303$15,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,554 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 47c | 20,807$9,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935.64 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 20,651$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.67 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 54c | 16,796$9,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,148.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 45c | 14,386$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,891.19 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 53c | 10,216$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 9,098$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.38 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 9,093$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.24 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 44c | 7,995$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 49c | 7,954$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.07 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 55c | 7,291$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 54c | 6,784$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 46c | 6,403$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.31 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 47c | 5,454$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 46c | 5,016$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 53c | 4,512$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 47c | 4,413$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 53c | 4,043$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 55c | 4,034$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 45c | 3,982$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 74c | 3,500$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 3,462$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…bbaabacked Yes | 53c | 3,403$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 78c | 3,093$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 52c | 3,015$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 2,910$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.03 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 2,855$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.92 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,606$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 46c | 2,508$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 56c | 2,412$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 54c | 2,194$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 44c | 2,094$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 53c | 2,050$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 2,035$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,011$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…bb47backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 79c | 1,912$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.52 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,903$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 46c | 1,852$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Yes | 55c | 1,770$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,748$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 50c | 1,457$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 47c | 1,327$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.23 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 44c | 1,324$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 44c | 1,324$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 45c | 1,316$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 54c | 1,287$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 56c | 1,283$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 51c | 1,127$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 46c | 1,079$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 54c | 920.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 45c | 889$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.95 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 870.56$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 858.93$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.64 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…84cebacked Yes | 53c | 841.06$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 802$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…b837backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 54c | 741.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked Yes | 56c | 737.38$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 734.93$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 50c | 700$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 52c | 676.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 674$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.96 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…9742backed Yes | 53c | 672.66$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 47c | 654.96$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 51c | 641.27$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 640.92$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes | 57c | 610.29$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…d3eebacked Yes | 55c | 594.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 53c | 569.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 47c | 567$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 53c | 567$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 50c | 563.77$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 53c | 556.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 549.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.