Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ed02823599efd8c95c4b7bfa4cb6fb204c92b8af4f1bf7d70688a6cbc79e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 40,122$17,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 48c | 30,000$14,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e9…95dabacked Yes | 23c | 18,592$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,255.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +328.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 78c | 16,000$12,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,513.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 77c | 12,718$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,814.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6740…6312backed Yes | 24c | 12,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…8009backed Yes | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 23c | 10,234$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.19 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 77c | 5,265$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 5,134$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.64 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.98 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 4,621$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.14 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 4,505$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.02 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…879cbacked No | 79c | 4,100$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…8ff0backed No | 77c | 3,730$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…8192backed No | 77c | 3,720$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…7a01backed No | 77c | 3,700$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…f958backed No | 80c | 3,700$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…6ebabacked No | 77c | 3,550$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…c493backed No | 77c | 3,350$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 50c | 2,987$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.32 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 47c | 2,589$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,394$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd6…e7b9backed No | 79c | 2,055$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71b…7af1backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,468$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed No | 77c | 1,322$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 1,274$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 24c | 1,004$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 75c | 926.01$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 77c | 911.95$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 78c | 896.78$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 890.71$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 863.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 792.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.14 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 40c | 616.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 45c | 580$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 486.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 24c | 438.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 20c | 413.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…afc7backed No | 80c | 314$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 74c | 306.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6af…2887backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…4067backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked No | 77c | 299.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes | 45c | 289.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 273.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4f56backed No | 78c | 179.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked No | 73c | 141.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 24c | 138.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 58c | 137.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 44c | 133.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…138cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 119.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 47c | 105.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…caf3backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 50c | 104.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 76c | 100.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 76c | 89.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…5f75backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed No | 77c | 66.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…37d3backed Yes | 29c | 58.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…f10fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 23c | 53.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed No | 77c | 49.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 74cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed No | 65c | 35.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed No | 77c | 27.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…2297backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…2649backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…2e87backed No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…143fbacked No | 78c | 20.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…cf50backed No | 80c | 14.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…d3a8backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.