TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0619…fe26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+113.3%+$47.63
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$16.35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$17.68
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$22.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.06
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+97.5%+$19.49
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$28.25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$12.89
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.46
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.79
Dota 2: Aurora vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Wildcard vs. BOOM Esportsbacked BOOM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.57
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Liquidbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Falconsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Team Tideboundbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$15.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$10.35
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.22
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$24.07
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$6.31
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.99
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$22.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$52.9
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.33
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$16.54
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$33.11
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31%+$9.3
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.99
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.