Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ac02f4603e5bdf84ea212536ec51d895ffe35f7d93b1f21f08e9291438e34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 61c | 4,107$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 3,169$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 2,323$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.92 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 2,000$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.96 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,859$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.01 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 40c | 1,600$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.84 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 1,584$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.92 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,175$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.49 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 1,084$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.04 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 1,039$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 19c | 1,016$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 988.11$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.24 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 72c | 862.75$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 784.27$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 559.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…5e48backed Yes | 59c | 544.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 59c | 317$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Yes | 45c | 298$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 259.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 60c | 250.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 54c | 232$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 59c | 218.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 42c | 188.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 59c | 182$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 42c | 180.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…0229backed Yes | 58c | 176.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 41c | 115.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Yes | 54c | 102.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 51c | 98.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 59c | 98.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d054backed Yes | 58c | 86.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 42c | 81.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 42c | 67.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 60c | 51.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…361cbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…1328backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 42c | 40.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…74efbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 43c | 33.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…4812backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…116fbacked Yes | 59c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.