Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5858a1ce21ae75f6468b513f5c22512c34b4e28f9cdfbc02c98f6726bdb628d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 20c | 8,798$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 17c | 7,876$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 7,522$5,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.28 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 4,231$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.13 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 19c | 4,219$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 77c | 916.52$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Yes | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 431.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 23c | 305.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 23c | 253.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Yes | 22c | 250.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 180.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 78c | 140.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 22c | 134.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 21c | 95.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…fac1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 17c | 81.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 23c | 64.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 58.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed Yes | 19c | 54.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Yes | 19c | 51.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…591fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Austria win on 2025-09-09?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.