Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a89a4700f97e08c3b012964197c023ac236ee9a415e15bc63a71ee09be70e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 3,585$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.41 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 2,754$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.67 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 850$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 26c | 845.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 65c | 400$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 74c | 196.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 29c | 190.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 16c | 153.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 75c | 133.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 124$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 28c | 116.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 16c | 91.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 87.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 38.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 79c | 16.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Austria end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria win on 2025-09-09?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.