Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5245b61a1cdce350ddf49e5bf620ce7756b50e9e712fc1034cfaa2756a3e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,451$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 2,077$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.23 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 76c | 1,920$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 78c | 1,506$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.41 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Yes | 25c | 1,427$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d527backed No | 75c | 1,423$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 1,016$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 23c | 958$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…cd41backed Yes | 27c | 752.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 25c | 550$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 23c | 502.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 23c | 396.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 77c | 389.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 76c | 388.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 22c | 334.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 259.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 226.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 226.2$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 220$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 155.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 24c | 141$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 19c | 140.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…aebdbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 25c | 100.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 76c | 94.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…a7adbacked Yes | 23c | 93.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…a76bbacked No | 69c | 89.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6595…edf9backed No | 77c | 64.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…02e7backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 78c | 50.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…4f11backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 78c | 42.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…208ebacked Yes | 24c | 41.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…f959backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…9e6cbacked No | 77c | 38.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 32.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…42c6backed No | 78c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…9784backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…2461backed No | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…0be1backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…09b0backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.