Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d907d86c3a9d7f2353f7a00d4cdfe7439a905f85d67cd4732ab9a250bceac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 72,109$33,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,753.28 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 55c | 50,106$27,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,556.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 48c | 29,219$14,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,148.22 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 23,557$12,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,206.94 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280.27 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 53c | 12,500$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 57c | 5,810$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.25 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 47c | 5,225$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.25 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.78 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 43c | 4,177$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 2,865$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.39 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 2,451$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.92 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,038$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 1,995$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 49c | 1,814$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.11 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Yes | 22c | 1,794$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 45c | 1,781$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 43c | 1,564$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 1,554$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 48c | 1,554$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.02 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 47c | 1,339$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.81 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 51c | 1,050$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.5 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 46c | 912.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 48c | 868.29$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 52c | 751.74$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 670$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 50c | 595.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 50c | 507.5$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 48c | 439.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 428.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 29c | 412.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 58c | 370.76$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Yes | 42c | 351.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 44c | 338.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 325$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 312.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 47c | 297.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…8145backed Yes | 49c | 297$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 269.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 52c | 268.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 44c | 267.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 60c | 266.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 38c | 264.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 50c | 239.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 42c | 236.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 30c | 221.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 47c | 205.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 63c | 204.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 23c | 203.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 53c | 189.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 189.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 46c | 187.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 72c | 159.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 54c | 121.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 49c | 119.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 49c | 108.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 49c | 100.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.