TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeebf…065e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+156.7%+$289.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$88.41
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$254
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$157
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$301
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+30.2%+$20.33
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+2,285.2%+$2,285.24
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$94.81
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$157.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-78.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$371
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+118.6%+$356.92
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$128
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+159.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$251.73
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$95.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$185.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$393.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$308
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.