NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeedfcce50f40974908ca775da416afb721f48667d5c37acfb50a05c1e74ffd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Ducks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Capitals | 73c | 4,313$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Ducks | 15c | 2,054$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 71c | 1,897$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 29c | 1,615$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.11 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 1,084$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Ducks | 28c | 999.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Capitals | 71c | 998.94$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Capitals | 72c | 626.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks | 28c | 572.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Ducks | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 6c | 469.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 10c | 428.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 28c | 412.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Ducks | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ducks | 31c | 394.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 69c | 382.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Ducks | 13c | 371.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Ducks | 31c | 319.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 28c | 303.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Ducks | 31c | 302.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Capitals | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks | 28c | 285.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Ducks | 32c | 282.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks | 30c | 264.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 27c | 231$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Ducks | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Ducks | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Ducks | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 29c | 161.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…37e5backed Ducks | 28c | 151.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9530backed Capitals | 72c | 151.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Capitals | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…49b7backed Capitals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Ducks | 17c | 122.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Capitals | 72c | 114.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Capitals | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…a878backed Capitals | 70c | 106.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Ducks | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…e35dbacked Capitals | 71c | 90.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…7371backed Capitals | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Ducks | 30c | 79.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…62d4backed Ducks | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…b60fbacked Ducks | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Capitals | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Ducks | 29c | 61.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Capitals | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Capitals | 71c | 59.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…c972backed Ducks | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…434bbacked Capitals | 72c | 55.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…dfa1backed Capitals | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Ducks | 48c | 53.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Ducks | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…59c5backed Ducks | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Capitals | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…b93fbacked Capitals | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…a2fbbacked Capitals | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…5975backed Capitals | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Capitals | 73c | 41.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…2818backed Ducks | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…64f4backed Capitals | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…464dbacked Ducks | 31c | 34.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ffe9backed Capitals | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…2fb1backed Capitals | 71c | 32.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…9b81backed Capitals | 69c | 30.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Capitals | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…f840backed Capitals | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…dd14backed Capitals | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…9982backed Capitals | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…3b84backed Capitals | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…ba80backed Capitals | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…b2b2backed Capitals | 71c | 28.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Capitals | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Capitals | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Capitals | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…e6c9backed Capitals | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…ea73backed Capitals | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…9045backed Capitals | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…e87bbacked Capitals | 71c | 26.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Capitals | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…38b7backed Capitals | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…6133backed Capitals | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…5b32backed Capitals | 71c | 24.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…a12fbacked Capitals | 71c | 22.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…0baabacked Capitals | 72c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Capitals | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…90f6backed Capitals | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…435bbacked Capitals | 69c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…8014backed Capitals | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…7a76backed Capitals | 68c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…5574backed Capitals | 73c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.