Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf91cc5030aa77662c0d349aa9178c10c7255bf217f3bf972844c85dd251efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 14c | 7,368$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 14c | 5,127$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.37 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 4,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 3,667$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,586$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 1,721$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,549$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 8c | 750$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed Yes | 13c | 683.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed Yes | 13c | 664.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 13c | 537.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 13c | 401.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 13c | 372.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 15c | 328.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 15c | 322$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 14c | 287.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f35ebacked Yes | 32c | 233.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 5c | 219.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…f9ddbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 13c | 213.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 14c | 202.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…ad22backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 14c | 143.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…8ae7backed Yes | 15c | 136.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 14c | 120.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 13c | 115.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 69c | 114.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 14c | 109.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…f2bdbacked Yes | 13c | 106.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 14c | 105.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 13c | 96.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 13c | 80.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…24fdbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 13c | 78.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 29c | 41.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.