Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c19f24cbc7c3abad8374594556ae9da71427b35a62f37124995b9dbd07825fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 69c | 27,132$18,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.16 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 20,457$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.28 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 29c | 7,040$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.77 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 71c | 5,876$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 29c | 5,130$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.65 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 71c | 4,030$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.49 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 70c | 3,994$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.21 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 3,078$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.66 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 1,955$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.17 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,385$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 913.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.92 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 19c | 858.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 28c | 822$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 32c | 781.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes | 80c | 744.8$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 30c | 600$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 68c | 567.06$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 76c | 486$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 422.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 33c | 411$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 56c | 356.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 27c | 354.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 55c | 351.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 61c | 335.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 80c | 299.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 16c | 220.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 71c | 215.46$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…54fcbacked No | 31c | 211.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 69c | 211.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…451ebacked No | 33c | 194.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Yes | 72c | 168.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed No | 15c | 155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…def8backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 67c | 149.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 12c | 145.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045b…9cd5backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 68c | 132.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…2684backed No | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Yes | 69c | 112.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…5087backed No | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked Yes | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…eb5fbacked Yes | 72c | 95.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…16e5backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 68c | 73.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 28c | 71.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 71c | 70.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…743bbacked Yes | 69c | 67.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked No | 44c | 65.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…c25abacked Yes | 72c | 62.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…bc9ebacked Yes | 69c | 60.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…a18fbacked Yes | 72c | 59.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed No | 26c | 57.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed No | 36c | 54.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…1b04backed No | 29c | 54.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…83d5backed No | 30c | 54.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 75c | 53.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…0a2dbacked No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…efcfbacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…34cabacked Yes | 71c | 47.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…0d3dbacked No | 28c | 47.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…f135backed No | 32c | 43.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 51c | 43.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 32c | 39.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 63c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…1b35backed Yes | 72c | 38.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…c68abacked No | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…d42abacked Yes | 62c | 37.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…ed77backed Yes | 70c | 36.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e57…d9eabacked Yes | 70c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…29fabacked Yes | 71c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…3d4abacked No | 30c | 35.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.