TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c5…c68a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.4
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.48
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+354.5%+$46.09
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.21
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.56
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$30.12
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$39.74
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$39.9
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$153.9
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$24.89
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$24.7
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Senators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.85
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AC Milan beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$12.58
Will Benfica beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$27.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$3.5
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$690
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$152.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.