Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f170156d98da99fe844c1254c8b80ce3b65a0c998eb851adf36c54ab375fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x549f…c945backed No | 24c | 35,670$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,455.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 50c | 14,500$7,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,180 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 50c | 7,827$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 53c | 4,951$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.93 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,682$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…61ffbacked No | 52c | 3,371$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 19c | 3,337$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.1 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 55c | 3,314$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…9476backed No | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 51c | 2,657$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.86 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6a46backed Yes | 49c | 2,498$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…64b7backed Yes | 49c | 2,461$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.6 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 70c | 2,060$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 48c | 2,024$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…9114backed No | 51c | 2,018$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 53c | 1,874$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 6c | 1,586$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 72c | 1,568$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.33 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 49c | 1,406$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,170$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 19c | 1,053$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Yes | 50c | 1,031$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 52c | 934.3$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 52c | 912.35$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.93 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 75c | 803.13$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 50c | 800.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 50c | 800.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 70c | 783.8$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 49c | 705.16$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 49c | 666.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 54c | 617.95$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 53c | 608.62$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 49c | 579.77$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 50c | 527.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 48c | 525.2$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Yes | 53c | 518.64$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…f9f3backed Yes | 50c | 474.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 47c | 467.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Yes | 49c | 437.42$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 79c | 400$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…4f66backed Yes | 53c | 377.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 47c | 374.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…2e62backed No | 51c | 297.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…c97fbacked Yes | 50c | 282$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 33c | 280.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 58c | 241.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked No | 52c | 231.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 71c | 230.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Yes | 49c | 203.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 50c | 203.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 50c | 200.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 50c | 199.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Yes | 51c | 196.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…9322backed Yes | 50c | 190.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…fcd5backed Yes | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 48c | 166.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…6c04backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 50c | 139.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 138.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed No | 52c | 136.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 50c | 129.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 50c | 123.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…b4e3backed No | 49c | 117.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…df44backed Yes | 50c | 116.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Yes | 50c | 116.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed Yes | 49c | 116.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…3fc8backed Yes | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +222.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked No | 51c | 112.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Yes | 50c | 110.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d922backed Yes | 51c | 107.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Yes | 49c | 105.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Yes | 50c | 105.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked No | 51c | 105.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked No | 51c | 104.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…89b8backed Yes | 49c | 104.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…8f64backed Yes | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…02fcbacked Yes | 54c | 102.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Yes | 50c | 102.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…39a6backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…5797backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c94…1e9dbacked No | 51c | 101.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed No | 52c | 101.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed No | 51c | 100.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.