TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x032b…89b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.83
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.75
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$26.48
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$207.52
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.73
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$106.03
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.16
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$68.22
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$25.32
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$51.85
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.96
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$72.9
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.19
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.12
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$56.89
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100.91
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67.63
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$46.6
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43.87
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.01
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$160.04
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$59.27
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.85
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$23.11
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$77.29
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.93
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$41.48
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$86.41
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$85.64
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$94.77
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$38.28
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.18
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64.37
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$57.72
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$49.21
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$57.8
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+123.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$20.79
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$69.75
Marlins vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$28.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$17.91
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$35.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$98.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$38.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.