NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b4e6409cbbf9ec85c43a506b879a0e7d927cf9cd386b348433ea4a240c769a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Lakers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 909 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bucks | 78c | 60,852$47,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,294.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Lakers | 31c | 52,427$16,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Lakers | 0c | 35,389$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 24c | 27,886$6,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,708.96 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 78c | 24,307$18,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.52 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lakers | 21c | 21,884$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.43 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bucks | 80c | 17,002$13,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.53 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lakers | 23c | 15,921$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.47 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 30c | 14,125$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 31c | 13,683$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.09 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 80c | 10,169$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 30c | 7,501$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.42 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 26c | 7,379$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.13 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 70c | 6,004$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.07 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Lakers | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bucks | 69c | 5,359$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.76 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Lakers | 31c | 5,300$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.96 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 31c | 4,896$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 73c | 4,800$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 74c | 4,600$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.81 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bucks | 71c | 4,553$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.42 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 3c | 4,497$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 30c | 4,450$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.54 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 30c | 4,423$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.19 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 32c | 4,410$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 4,405$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 75c | 4,378$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.85 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Lakers | 31c | 4,304$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.21 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers | 0c | 4,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 70c | 3,997$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.02 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 69c | 3,934$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 68c | 3,674$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.09 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks | 71c | 3,199$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.81 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers | 31c | 3,169$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.35 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…5151backed Lakers | 30c | 3,026$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bucks | 69c | 3,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 71c | 2,998$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.91 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Bucks | 69c | 2,900$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lakers | 31c | 2,487$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 2,484$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Lakers | 24c | 2,420$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lakers | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 77c | 2,170$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Lakers | 15c | 2,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Bucks | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Lakers | 29c | 1,921$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.09 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Bucks | 70c | 1,892$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.62 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 69c | 1,836$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Lakers | 19c | 1,827$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lakers | 33c | 1,707$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.38 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Bucks | 76c | 1,703$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.03 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Lakers | 7c | 1,613$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Bucks | 73c | 1,607$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers | 32c | 1,580$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Bucks | 71c | 1,549$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Lakers | 33c | 1,506$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks | 70c | 1,437$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lakers | 8c | 1,428$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Bucks | 72c | 1,403$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…398cbacked Bucks | 72c | 1,395$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 69c | 1,372$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 1c | 1,298$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…90d9backed Bucks | 72c | 1,256$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…3895backed Lakers | 30c | 1,237$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…2318backed Lakers | 33c | 1,179$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…bfb2backed Lakers | 35c | 1,151$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Lakers | 33c | 1,138$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 31c | 1,109$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.13 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 69c | 1,092$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Lakers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 1c | 926.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Lakers | 32c | 906$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 69c | 868.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.39 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 35c | 800$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks | 70c | 785.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bucks | 70c | 752.86$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Bucks | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Bucks | 67c | 730$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Lakers | 33c | 720$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…c765backed Lakers | 33c | 719.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 29c | 700$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lakers | 32c | 694.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Bucks | 68c | 694$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Lakers | 15c | 680$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 30c | 663.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 73c | 662.69$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Lakers | 19c | 636.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lakers | 32c | 630.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 68c | 630.01$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers | 32c | 629.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 32c | 616.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Lakers | 29c | 593.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.