TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes38c7,110$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.7936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c6,052$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.3239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No61c5,749$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.681553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes68c4,918$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3337055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No34c4,650$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.2612359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b8…3842backed Yes65c4,389$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked No34c3,561$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.173125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes27c2,926$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.353737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes5c2,768$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes35c2,421$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8461729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa7…ea20backed Yes64c1,965$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b47…4500backed No36c1,965$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acd…d838backed No34c1,924$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.835100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+185.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes62c1,894$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.3224742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821a…4920backed No34c1,800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes40c1,699$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6862050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No35c1,507$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.2413847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.889643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes41c1,280$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.761838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No33c1,254$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.083961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc797…3a1cbacked No36c1,163$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+181.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccec…130dbacked Yes64c1,163$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes65c930.62$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.8338048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No33c785.49$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9144955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Yes66c771.63$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Yes67c765$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes62c757.2$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.585754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes41c701.15$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.037460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed No50c565$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.11070%7 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick34cpaid+129.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31e6…883fbacked No35c537.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+178.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes51c504.44$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes8c457.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8421…37d7backed Yes3c450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No37c444.08$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0616836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes39c428.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No58c408.84$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7310845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed No35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No72c399.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2612737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed Yes65c397.97$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Yes66c349.14$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes67c328.36$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…4fd3backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8491…f31fbacked Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…2b7bbacked No34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes66c278.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…6628backed Yes66c272.73$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed No34c264.45$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…80b3backed Yes66c247.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ce…b4e3backed No35c245.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed No39c241.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5a…1aefbacked No39c238.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…09bdbacked No38c232.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1850…e582backed No39c229.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbb…dff8backed No38c228.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No33c227$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0946956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…944fbacked No40c223.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9d…f60abacked No38c219.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes9c217.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacaf…999fbacked No35c214.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde3c…020cbacked Yes66c213.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d50…3b2fbacked Yes66c204.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked No34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed No34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ead…3381backed Yes64c193.27$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1be…19b7backed No35c170.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dea…8128backed No35c169.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes65c162.67$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e5…2f5bbacked No38c162.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes67c161.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes41c160$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccad…1caabacked No35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe996…6243backed Yes66c159.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes66c152.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0d9…45cabacked Yes64c151.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd71…c879backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c9…0594backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes11c151$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No35c150.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.570%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be7…a41bbacked Yes66c149.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed No35c147$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Yes67c145.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c6…ca31backed No38c144.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589c…e3e6backed Yes65c143.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes67c143.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.853525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.