Champions League · resolved market
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37b0d415eb67ff5f4763e2b94a25d47a85c4f8d6058310d8180aaeab20bcc346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked No | 80c | 130,000$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…e7a8backed Yes | 20c | 130,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 75c | 6,050$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 15c | 3,271$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 32c | 3,216$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 1,541$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.37 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 20c | 1,534$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 1,046$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.96 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,033$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 56c | 898.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 721.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 44c | 601.75$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 485$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 20c | 370.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 25c | 305.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 21c | 285.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 79c | 249.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 20c | 247.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 218.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…2d72backed Yes | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 75c | 176.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 20c | 164.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…999fbacked Yes | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 21c | 140.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 19c | 121.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e6…7ccebacked Yes | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 9c | 112.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 110.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 108.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fab…5797backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 79c | 90.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 21c | 73.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed No | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 55.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 21c | 54.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…449cbacked No | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…c0edbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…ceecbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed No | 68c | 38.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…a0b8backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…12c3backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 75cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?No won
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.