NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2a9d4c473653b364cdc337ab4ba1175416dee8217efb11ffabe591cf0f0c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 510 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c5…9772backed Knicks | 69c | 97,754$67,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,303.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…41babacked Heat | 31c | 97,754$30,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,303.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 71c | 70,511$50,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,395.71 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Knicks | 57c | 39,728$22,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,132.59 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Knicks | 46c | 24,038$11,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,007.94 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 53c | 19,333$10,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,292.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 47c | 18,813$8,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,894.37 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Knicks | 33c | 15,031$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,061.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Knicks | 63c | 13,413$8,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.68 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Knicks | 70c | 9,543$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.13 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 78c | 9,328$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.79 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 60c | 8,171$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.25 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 32c | 7,581$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Knicks | 44c | 5,732$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Heat | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.16 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Heat | 75c | 4,197$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.77 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Knicks | 10c | 3,444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.58 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Knicks | 31c | 3,339$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.52 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Heat | 14c | 3,333$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.06 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Knicks | 69c | 3,114$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 11c | 3,038$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 68c | 3,003$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 32c | 2,763$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.64 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks | 20c | 2,553$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.92 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 34c | 2,475$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.3 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 52c | 2,454$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Knicks | 35c | 2,263$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.66 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 31c | 2,234$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.51 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Knicks | 70c | 2,082$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 31c | 1,927$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.16 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 65c | 1,813$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.27 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Knicks | 46c | 1,809$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.44 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Knicks | 68c | 1,500$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.14 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Heat | 44c | 1,489$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.14 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Knicks | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Heat | 35c | 1,443$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 50c | 1,430$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.39 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 69c | 1,423$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.05 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 32c | 1,405$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.57 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Heat | 32c | 1,327$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.87 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 32c | 1,293$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.44 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Knicks | 24c | 1,254$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.8 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Knicks | 30c | 1,254$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.21 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…216cbacked Heat | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks | 71c | 1,215$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 1,144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Heat | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Knicks | 24c | 1,000$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.14 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 64c | 961.14$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.7 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Knicks | 40c | 950$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Knicks | 65c | 921.82$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.64 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Knicks | 60c | 849.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Knicks | 14c | 849$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.14 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…1725backed Heat | 33c | 815.42$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…b7a9backed Heat | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…77aabacked Knicks | 70c | 798.11$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Knicks | 57c | 750.79$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.84 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Heat | 74c | 750$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 60c | 739.67$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.44 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Knicks | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Heat | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…bdebbacked Heat | 59c | 666$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…e601backed Knicks | 68c | 659.62$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 31c | 651.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Knicks | 70c | 647.84$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…2f6fbacked Heat | 48c | 620.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 5c | 601.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Heat | 2c | 599.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 31c | 595.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…9937backed Knicks | 70c | 581.43$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…785cbacked Heat | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…88e3backed Heat | 34c | 576.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 31c | 565$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks | 70c | 563.94$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Knicks | 49c | 555.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Knicks | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Heat | 30c | 538.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Heat | 79c | 501.73$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Knicks | 13c | 500$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks | 14c | 499.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.32 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…3ffabacked Heat | 78c | 435.19$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Heat | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 53c | 428.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Knicks | 57c | 424.56$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Knicks | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Knicks | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 30c | 408.07$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Knicks | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 31c | 399.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…b6a8backed Knicks | 67c | 395.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…2dbdbacked Heat | 35c | 387.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.