NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d69e266a7f0b1d7549b85b5d27da6c18acc76d5c8f0221d8dbfefeebf17c101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Timberwolves, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,033,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,033,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 644 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 96,561$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 64,887$22,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,115.72 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 49,743$7,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.84 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 13c | 36,224$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.15 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Lakers | 79c | 34,828$27,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Timberwolves | 5c | 26,702$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Timberwolves | 34c | 21,956$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Timberwolves | 9c | 19,681$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.91 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 9c | 16,415$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.67 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 14,706$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 66c | 13,581$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.32 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 10c | 13,555$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…a2a9backed Timberwolves | 2c | 10,525$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Timberwolves | 34c | 9,382$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 17c | 8,847$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.6 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 68c | 8,669$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.34 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Timberwolves | 31c | 8,381$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.1 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Lakers | 70c | 7,186$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.61 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Timberwolves | 35c | 7,098$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Timberwolves | 16c | 7,051$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.47 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Lakers | 66c | 6,903$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.01 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 66c | 6,849$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.64 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 65c | 6,107$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 32c | 6,100$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lakers | 66c | 6,098$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.32 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 67c | 6,000$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 5,055$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.52 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Lakers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 0c | 4,119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Timberwolves | 17c | 4,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Timberwolves | 14c | 3,995$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 3,516$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 3,489$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.21 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves | 15c | 3,479$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 15c | 3,361$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 65c | 3,233$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Lakers | 64c | 3,127$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Timberwolves | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 9c | 3,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Timberwolves | 32c | 2,950$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.93 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers | 66c | 2,817$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 79c | 2,600$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 11c | 2,590$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 34c | 2,563$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.58 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Timberwolves | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 33c | 2,439$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 2,387$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Timberwolves | 5c | 2,360$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 2,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 67c | 2,214$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Lakers | 65c | 2,002$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lakers | 67c | 1,800$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.18 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,794$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.11 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…01edbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 1,730$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lakers | 66c | 1,680$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lakers | 68c | 1,633$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.69 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,539$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.57 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.54 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 29c | 1,403$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,400$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 58c | 1,400$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Timberwolves | 9c | 1,385$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Timberwolves | 10c | 1,324$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Timberwolves | 7c | 1,320$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Lakers | 65c | 1,211$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.98 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Timberwolves | 8c | 1,200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,186$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Timberwolves | 30c | 1,180$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 15c | 1,151$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 1,126$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Timberwolves | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 17c | 1,068$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Lakers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b5d0backed Lakers | 68c | 999.96$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 67c | 993.99$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Timberwolves | 32c | 992.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 14c | 959.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Lakers | 67c | 928.39$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 21c | 920.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…9030backed Timberwolves | 34c | 909.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves | 30c | 896.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.87 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 35c | 872.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 64c | 866.89$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.85 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Timberwolves | 35c | 860.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers | 68c | 813.17$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Timberwolves | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Timberwolves | 3c | 782.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 35c | 718.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.