TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x206c…2632backed No49c87,621$42,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,686.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90fa…2ecdbacked Yes51c87,621$44,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,686.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c35,757$16,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,093.4979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed No52c14,867$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,117.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c11…c7e6backed Yes55c11,232$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,128.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes54c11,228$6,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,035.029235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No45c11,117$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,094.059754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No44c9,859$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes54c8,677$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes57c8,045$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.691952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes52c7,907$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.95644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes35c7,768$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.0214732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48a…f068backed Yes39c6,721$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes55c6,103$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No48c5,915$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.7514659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes21c5,585$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.345959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes52c5,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8601580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes52c4,872$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.461526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No48c4,385$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.432037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes8c3,803$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes52c3,291$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.4329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No47c3,286$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.5213547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Yes74c2,686$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes54c2,652$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acd…d838backed No48c2,556$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes41c2,465$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.8238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes42c2,215$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.8126054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.8924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked Yes51c1,979$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No48c1,500$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes55c1,231$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.9612037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes22c1,160$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.221353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes42c1,078$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8427024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5a…bf73backed Yes66c1,060$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.997241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes21c907.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2928355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes55c880.51$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.33545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes49c814.29$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3995740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No63c806.35$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.354362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4164055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No46c796.36$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.045747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6697…b37dbacked Yes54c657.41$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked No30c647.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.31566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+112.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes26c600$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+241.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6869…7dd2backed Yes70c587.85$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b86…5ecfbacked Yes17c558.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c549.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No13c532.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.5119743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes54c525.04$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes53c500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9914732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed No59c485.93$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No48c484.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No45c453.86$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.157458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes27c441.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.23228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes51c430.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5818950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No48c403.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Yes51c380.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes61c373.49$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.836741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes45c339.08$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes42c316.6$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15915636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes52c294.12$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.944755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes47c285.19$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked No45c243.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.912744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes53c228.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.499949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb474…a4bcbacked No47c225.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.511877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked No48c210.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.424637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes52c207.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.663652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed No48c204.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…1a89backed Yes53c201.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa6…b8a9backed Yes53c201.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf332…1601backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked No48c193.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e2…b07dbacked Yes49c189.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4508…9134backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes53c188.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked No48c187.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed No48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Yes53c186.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Yes53c185.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed No48c185.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed No48c184.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.