Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2999799ae2a33bc6e43d2275f9c2d79046b0eb724fd5eba49d877011cce8ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Yes | 18c | 7,853$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 19c | 6,039$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 13c | 5,530$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 20c | 5,391$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.82 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 46c | 4,661$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.52 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 77c | 3,636$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,100$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.49 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 18c | 2,770$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.35 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,071$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 30c | 2,043$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.07 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 19c | 1,616$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 54c | 933.33$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 54c | 851.21$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.15 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 817.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 56c | 610.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 510.35$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Yes | 26c | 510.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 485$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 25c | 395.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 22c | 310.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 48c | 268.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Yes | 23c | 265$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…8709backed Yes | 23c | 188$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…fb89backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 42c | 173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 22c | 169.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…0205backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 76c | 157.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…8d8bbacked Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d1…e528backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…ce95backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed No | 77c | 79.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ca91backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 75c | 70.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…fcedbacked No | 56c | 67.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 63.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…21f8backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…4a5dbacked No | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked No | 77c | 56.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b4dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…e7dcbacked Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…c471backed No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…40f8backed No | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 41.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…a44bbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…423cbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…515ebacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Yes | 50c | 38.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…5a08backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…253dbacked No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed No | 56c | 37.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…6307backed Yes | 48c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…1808backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…9ea4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc102…483fbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…9b2fbacked No | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…1488backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…4be7backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…97d6backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…3f15backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…0c74backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…aeedbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…920ebacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…96cfbacked No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-19?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.