TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe762…cd2cbacked No43c33,580$14,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,439.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…4102backed Yes57c33,580$19,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,439.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes58c7,484$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.439235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes58c7,133$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.7611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No42c6,788$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.1411454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No42c6,296$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.6779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Yes58c4,124$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.64143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c3,440$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.4479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes63c2,964$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.8238645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes58c2,562$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.335100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c2,232$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.2441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes58c1,958$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.292060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes58c1,912$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.6212053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No45c1,740$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.0313857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No42c1,520$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.6140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+103.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No42c1,323$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes58c1,257$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.056944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No42c1,215$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.35141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes58c1,154$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes57c1,130$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.764339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed No38c1,006$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes58c916.38$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.888045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes57c523.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.245358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2108453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Yes57c425.68$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes57c400$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes58c398.91$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.545050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes55c363.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.717835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8811855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes75c259.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7928355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.59241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No42c242.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.951,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes59c240$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.971752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes58c224.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.332240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c224.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x480c…81f2backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c200.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes57c194.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.745642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ae…5efebacked Yes58c192.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes58c180.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.811369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e70cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4411052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No58c155$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes57c122.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.126054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No42c113$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked No44c107.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No43c106.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.952060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.267341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked No44c99.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked No44c96.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes60c95.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.157252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked No44c93.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No43c89.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7232737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2142755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc57d…12b5backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2125637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Yes58c85.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Yes58c84.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Yes57c83.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No42c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…5468backed Yes57c78.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.496457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.598339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Yes57c73.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes57c73.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.684940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.186139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.189938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c69.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Yes58c69.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.973754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff89…6b3ebacked Yes57c64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No42c57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.577638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.498747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Yes58c48.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes57c47.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.374628.3%13 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf065…20abbacked Yes57c46.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6112342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes57c43.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7914057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.772548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2877…f337backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1d…a08fbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0520958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc9…92aabacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…6704backed No44c33.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeed…cc18backed No45c32.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.