TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5656…855f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT4261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$114.89
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$21.94
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$148.63
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$181.76
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.78
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.31
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$72.12
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.83
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.81
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$30.72
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$83.96
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$72.36
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.95
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+168.4%+$185.97
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+37%+$50.04
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$74.35
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$48.87
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16.87
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115.03
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$111.92
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+121.7%+$103.57
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.49
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.31
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$112.19
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.01
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.64
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$44.84
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$58.95
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$65.75
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$77.5
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$29.4
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$59.35
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.22
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$66.12
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65.31
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$62.35
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$43.64
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$53.68
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+100%+$53.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$28.72
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$81.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.