TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Nets, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa112…d215backed Hornets8c20,125$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,415.813435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets24c19,299$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,674.2634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Nets79c16,406$12,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,913.6322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets32c11,093$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,543.4633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets24c10,495$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000.033,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets64c7,801$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.3549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets15c6,250$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.4831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nets75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Hornets36c5,000$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.934731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2b…e11abacked Hornets20c4,496$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+288.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets36c4,478$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.3350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets77c4,049$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.7961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed6…9ff0backed Nets63c4,001$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Nets65c3,832$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.717451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets76c3,157$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.9833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets37c3,050$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets68c2,489$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.121,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nets51c2,356$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.8120851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Hornets21c2,295$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.4725536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets35c2,147$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.2747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Hornets38c2,113$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.919247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets18c2,000$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.526431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets63c2,000$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.221,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Nets63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9817546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets37c1,984$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.7825833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Nets75c1,864$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.6170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets77c1,838$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.3670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nets64c1,743$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.7325845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nets65c1,727$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.4937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Hornets34c1,686$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.769836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Hornets30c1,665$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.8918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Nets78c1,570$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.1914034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hornets18c1,400$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1421,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…99c4backed Hornets38c1,359$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets26c1,357$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.1729450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Nets63c1,341$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.1427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa40…99cebacked Hornets39c1,321$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc455…f916backed Hornets36c1,308$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets23c1,212$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.7547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0de7…fa00backed Hornets51c1,150$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets37c1,080$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.6626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Hornets38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4714051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hornets19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6311135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets59c1,051$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f8…d5b5backed Nets49c1,028$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Hornets37c1,001$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.5411939.5%47 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets37c999.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.991,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets33c999.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Hornets37c999.9$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.941040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Nets63c999.9$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.941258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Hornets37c978.08$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.1911654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Hornets34c923.45$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.278943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets63c884$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nets65c853.85$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8126640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Nets65c805.76$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52017044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Hornets76c789.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9921450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets19c767.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.498783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Hornets49c762.39$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.717169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Hornets38c750$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nets62c736$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Nets64c699.6$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets55c672.09$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.091,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets63c607.68$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8456945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets16c590$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets62c563.16$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets7c559.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8337011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Nets61c553.11$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets38c530.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Hornets76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.327864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Nets76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Hornets35c525$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.256346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Hornets39c517.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Nets59c505$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5710042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Hornets35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7361…22dfbacked Nets64c496.16$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.541723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Hornets21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1923359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Hornets17c474$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4227546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets69c464.99$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb5…87ecbacked Hornets22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.551723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Nets55c451.41$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1817256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets46c448.93$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets36c442$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8830826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets47c427.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Hornets32c418.93$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.874528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets17c406.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5845135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.412,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nets64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hornets10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Hornets34c386$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.766129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hornets22c335$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8416617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets77c325.38$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Hornets32c317.81$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.118142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets35c308.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…54dbbacked Hornets36c306$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.841546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.