TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Astros, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb142…cd11backed Astros27c11,028$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.5918748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers75c7,744$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.822,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Tigers59c7,200$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95213065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Tigers59c7,143$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.4910041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Astros44c6,632$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Tigers59c6,530$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,67921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Tigers62c6,455$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.463953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros40c6,354$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.221,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Astros38c6,032$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.1354345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Astros40c5,729$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.4726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers60c5,555$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22299149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Astros41c5,021$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.592937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Astros41c4,843$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.6338949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers58c4,200$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers61c4,109$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.961,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Tigers59c3,621$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.612665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros41c3,341$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.0138047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed Astros38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Tigers54c2,638$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.4315650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb2…c39fbacked Astros41c2,150$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Astros40c2,132$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.6222047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Tigers59c2,103$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.2312857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Astros40c2,049$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.761,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa702…b3bbbacked Astros40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Astros38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers58c1,300$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.132042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cc9…50fabacked Tigers61c1,295$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Astros41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers60c1,197$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.929,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Astros42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…98fbbacked Tigers62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Astros42c1,124$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros41c1,024$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.0930842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Tigers57c1,022$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Tigers61c1,007$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.027663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb833…56f2backed Astros39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Astros42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Tigers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b124backed Astros39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Tigers58c999.96$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.987659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Astros38c922$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b02…d17bbacked Tigers60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers60c900$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers56c895.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8895930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…26f9backed Tigers60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers59c820.1$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900d…a480backed Astros40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f8…5d3dbacked Astros40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros41c799.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Astros39c769$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.911,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Astros41c750$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.55644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros41c749.96$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers59c719.88$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.561,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x130f…836bbacked Tigers61c705$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.95887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers58c701.55$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.652,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers59c699.79$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.914,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Tigers59c694.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c9…abeabacked Tigers60c683$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98fe…9545backed Tigers60c667$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Astros44c661.8$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.333438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Astros25c647$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Tigers65c637.92$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3110459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Astros38c616$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Astros42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Astros42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked Astros42c572.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Astros39c540.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.918848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers58c539.3$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Astros41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a43…79d2backed Tigers60c470.83$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Tigers61c464.65$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0611961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers57c449.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers68c440$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.131,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Astros39c414.86$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.819742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tigers61c400$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1588,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers58c399.97$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6f…e87cbacked Astros40c396.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.564647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Tigers59c392.02$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7328258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Astros40c370.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Astros41c362.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.493228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Astros40c355$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Astros40c349.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.681,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Tigers69c347.71$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.913149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Tigers62c340.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.187256.9%41 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers65c325$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…c65ebacked Tigers59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d22…66c9backed Astros42c304.76$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Astros40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers58c257.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Astros41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Astros40c244$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66354%34 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c98…4fdfbacked Astros42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Astros42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb555…bf36backed Tigers59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Astros41c228$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4811947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Astros40c224.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.391,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48dc…8c54backed Tigers60c217.51$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3104…bd68backed Astros42c216.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.