NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4966e492172fec6d5096b420198c7ac4d259428876442326389686784f5724cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Suns | 51c | 34,191$17,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,393.48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Timberwolves | 53c | 30,631$16,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,429.29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Timberwolves | 78c | 17,430$13,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.28 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Suns | 46c | 11,606$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.76 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Suns | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 9,776$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.53 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 9,522$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 49c | 8,001$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.68 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Suns | 32c | 5,783$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.43 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Suns | 53c | 5,688$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,969$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.98 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 37c | 4,618$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,498$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.55 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…be0ebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 4,267$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,859$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns | 53c | 3,847$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.99 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 3,730$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.1 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…c2bebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…ec8ebacked Suns | 52c | 3,402$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,500$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.42 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Suns | 55c | 2,366$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.55 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,342$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.31 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 1c | 2,313$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,287$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.42 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,204$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Suns | 15c | 2,120$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 2,045$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 53c | 1,997$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.03 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Suns | 40c | 1,992$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Suns | 49c | 1,958$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.56 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 1,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns | 52c | 1,879$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.44 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,858$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.73 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Suns | 52c | 1,712$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.37 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 47c | 1,698$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,611$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.11 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Suns | 53c | 1,504$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Timberwolves | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Suns | 53c | 1,491$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Suns | 53c | 1,445$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,445$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…3895backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,402$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Suns | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 1c | 1,358$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,341$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,273$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.86 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Suns | 52c | 1,201$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.02 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,150$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.49 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1c…a019backed Suns | 54c | 1,108$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Suns | 1c | 1,084$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.35 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,054$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb63backed Suns | 53c | 1,019$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Suns | 53c | 999.84$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.92 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 48c | 948.94$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.36 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Timberwolves | 48c | 877.08$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Suns | 52c | 768.43$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Suns | 52c | 765.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 47c | 764.53$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…6774backed Suns | 52c | 758.65$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Suns | 53c | 730.94$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.47 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Timberwolves | 43c | 726.84$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 54c | 704.99$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 51c | 697$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.75 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 39c | 662.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 625$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Suns | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Suns | 50c | 597.87$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Timberwolves | 48c | 588.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.02 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…a709backed Timberwolves | 49c | 548.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns | 55c | 509.27$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Timberwolves | 49c | 507.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Suns | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 500$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Suns | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns | 52c | 492$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Suns | 52c | 473.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked Suns | 17c | 449.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 46c | 435.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Timberwolves | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…27e6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 411$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Suns | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 378.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b7…4ed9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…41d3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 337$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Suns | 52c | 334.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Suns | 48c | 330.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 328.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Timberwolves | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.