NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645b543f8f504e97e587e09988e57ff366648f68bdfde2fca02e5664244150a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Thunder | 71c | 102,509$73,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,396.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 78c | 58,716$45,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,041.68 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Thunder | 74c | 56,391$41,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,679.92 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 19c | 45,801$8,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,495.1 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 29c | 42,071$12,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000.73 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 26c | 40,638$10,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,411.45 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Nuggets | 0c | 38,337$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 74c | 16,217$12,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.54 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Nuggets | 24c | 16,163$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.96 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 28c | 14,049$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.91 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 76c | 13,718$10,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.74 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 26c | 12,965$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.05 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nuggets | 29c | 12,724$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 27c | 10,121$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.86 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Nuggets | 27c | 9,625$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.71 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 7,863$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…a451backed Thunder | 72c | 7,836$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Nuggets | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 65c | 5,615$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.95 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed Nuggets | 27c | 5,344$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…b4bebacked Thunder | 74c | 5,325$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Nuggets | 27c | 4,871$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.33 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 27c | 4,776$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.23 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Thunder | 79c | 4,508$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Thunder | 60c | 3,402$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 25c | 3,290$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.91 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nuggets | 26c | 3,215$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.02 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…dac9backed Nuggets | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Thunder | 73c | 2,830$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,788$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Nuggets | 28c | 2,783$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,600$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,400$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,300$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nuggets | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 69c | 1,886$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.27 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,881$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.7 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Thunder | 69c | 1,872$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Thunder | 75c | 1,868$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.02 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Nuggets | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 73c | 1,684$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…a709backed Thunder | 74c | 1,657$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,603$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,567$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Thunder | 80c | 1,547$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,363$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Thunder | 74c | 1,303$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,287$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Thunder | 68c | 1,262$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Thunder | 66c | 1,220$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,201$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 72c | 1,198$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,180$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.56 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 72c | 1,124$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.73 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,080$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Nuggets | 9c | 1,036$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 26c | 1,034$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,010$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Thunder | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nuggets | 22c | 1,002$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Nuggets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 73c | 983.56$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 34c | 893.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Nuggets | 27c | 876.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Nuggets | 27c | 854.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 35c | 850$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nuggets | 31c | 827$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Nuggets | 34c | 780.75$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…87ecbacked Nuggets | 27c | 727.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Thunder | 69c | 725.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Nuggets | 4c | 720.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 28c | 715.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nuggets | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Nuggets | 22c | 712.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Nuggets | 20c | 700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Thunder | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c8dbacked Thunder | 73c | 684.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Thunder | 76c | 675$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nuggets | 26c | 670.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 11c | 647.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Nuggets | 27c | 646.45$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Nuggets | 25c | 644.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Nuggets | 14c | 633.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Nuggets | 39c | 629.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nuggets | 31c | 612.17$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nuggets | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 75c | 595.94$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Nuggets | 17c | 562.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.