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NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Spurs1c42,657$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5710926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks47c12,036$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,390.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs67c10,316$6,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,896.1747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs64c10,064$6,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,429.7336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks31c9,999$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.621,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Spurs69c9,247$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.2111443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs49c7,336$3,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.8834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks31c7,000$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8301,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks78c4,707$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.6861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks45c3,938$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.3328347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks35c3,328$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.975,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Spurs4c3,052$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3234524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Spurs70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.997860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks51c2,692$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.2870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9431935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs68c2,222$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.961,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Spurs48c2,154$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.124766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Spurs75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs66c2,000$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.961,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks33c2,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.9720047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Mavericks68c1,989$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.355660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Mavericks45c1,651$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.118251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs69c1,637$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.4973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Mavericks31c1,616$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.99247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Mavericks32c1,488$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x352d…ef4bbacked Spurs68c1,485$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.81225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Spurs70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs68c1,336$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.0877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks31c1,274$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.5693036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ff…d747backed Spurs24c1,241$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Spurs70c1,234$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6216563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Spurs50c1,062$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs36c1,061$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.8633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks34c1,055$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Spurs71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Spurs69c999.93$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mavericks49c966.4$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.48434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Mavericks32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs70c928$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks32c900$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Mavericks29c854.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.4114051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Mavericks30c799.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Spurs69c799.92$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks47c764.03$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.621,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs68c699.95$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks28c694.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.799836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs70c688.4$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.8861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Mavericks25c680$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Spurs71c565.11$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs8c560$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.998783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Spurs70c541$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9420553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs67c533.98$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…f420backed Spurs71c526.34$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.944643.5%20 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Spurs67c519.95$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8218354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs69c501.98$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Spurs73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3655156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd15c…e6e4backed Spurs63c484.48$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3811256.3%63 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Spurs70c481.26$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8825845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Mavericks31c471.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.174156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Mavericks45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4423554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks33c417.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.926431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs53c412.48$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.241,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks31c404$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.762,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs69c403.97$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.741,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Spurs70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28041227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Spurs50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b29…d9f6backed Mavericks30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks35c396.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3427735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Mavericks30c386.17$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3213929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks33c363.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6466744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Mavericks31c352.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.36129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Spurs25c346.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4736747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks29c317.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Mavericks32c313$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7316129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks35c310$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Spurs68c299.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9830351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Mavericks31c263.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.764261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Mavericks30c256$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.25728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Spurs70c246.6$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.623554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Mavericks26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7712955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Mavericks31c227.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.724245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Mavericks29c218.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f9…d2a7backed Spurs70c217.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.433348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c9…0594backed Spurs69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x920d…bb46backed Spurs33c215.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011157.7%64 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…548fbacked Mavericks32c208.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.84658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Mavericks58c206.31$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3111259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Spurs69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13840448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Spurs68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Spurs70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Mavericks27c199.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9840726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.