NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b18797bc0829f41521902abb56b8ed347c32940a553ab49b9e0762360060b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Wizards, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 30c | 10,525$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Raptors | 70c | 8,044$5,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.18 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 30c | 6,852$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.68 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors | 72c | 4,500$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.97 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 17c | 3,941$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 28c | 3,858$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.11 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors | 70c | 3,548$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.51 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…bdc9backed Wizards | 29c | 3,379$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 19c | 3,246$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.04 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Raptors | 69c | 3,099$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.81 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Raptors | 71c | 2,902$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…7924backed Wizards | 28c | 2,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…9363backed Raptors | 71c | 2,886$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…26e7backed Wizards | 28c | 2,886$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Wizards | 1c | 2,710$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 21c | 2,490$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.13 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raptors | 80c | 2,287$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.42 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 70c | 1,942$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.67 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Wizards | 31c | 1,927$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.88 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Wizards | 28c | 1,897$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.16 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Raptors | 73c | 1,840$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.06 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 70c | 1,824$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.29 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 71c | 1,641$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.76 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…a709backed Raptors | 72c | 1,528$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 30c | 1,334$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Raptors | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Wizards | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 31c | 1,085$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 4c | 1,010$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Raptors | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Raptors | 69c | 972.71$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…5151backed Raptors | 72c | 958.33$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 28c | 949.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…398cbacked Raptors | 72c | 893.06$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 78c | 812.26$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Raptors | 70c | 749.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Wizards | 30c | 702.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Raptors | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Raptors | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 72c | 651.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Wizards | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 20c | 548.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Wizards | 30c | 528.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 75c | 521.1$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Wizards | 28c | 520.57$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 29c | 511.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Raptors | 73c | 499$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 20c | 410.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Wizards | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Raptors | 66c | 341.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Wizards | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Raptors | 69c | 330.92$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 30c | 309.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors | 70c | 305$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Raptors | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…819fbacked Wizards | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Raptors | 70c | 299.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 28c | 299.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Wizards | 28c | 285.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…180abacked Raptors | 69c | 276.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 73c | 272.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Raptors | 70c | 270$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…5dd0backed Raptors | 69c | 262.39$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Raptors | 72c | 257.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Wizards | 30c | 251.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Raptors | 72c | 245$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…b8a9backed Wizards | 31c | 241.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Raptors | 72c | 235.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Wizards | 31c | 234.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3435backed Wizards | 31c | 232.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards | 28c | 223.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Raptors | 72c | 223.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Raptors | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Wizards | 28c | 217.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Raptors | 72c | 214.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Wizards | 31c | 211.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Wizards | 29c | 211.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors | 71c | 210.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Wizards | 29c | 207.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Wizards | 29c | 206.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…c22dbacked Wizards | 29c | 206.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors | 73c | 205.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Wizards | 30c | 205.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Raptors | 70c | 205.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 71c | 204.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Raptors | 74c | 202$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Raptors | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Raptors | 71c | 194.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Raptors | 72c | 193.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Wizards | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.