TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Utah, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Senators53c10,440$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.7123642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah47c6,974$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…2577backed Senators53c5,100$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bc…51fdbacked Utah47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Utah48c2,875$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.785648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b4…23a6backed Utah48c1,496$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff90…993cbacked Utah47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3698…1580backed Utah47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked Senators53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Utah47c999.91$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.964650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Senators53c999.61$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah46c976.32$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.1479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c66…1cb4backed Senators52c853.41$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c15…4c30backed Senators52c807.27$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e5…39c7backed Utah48c757.9$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cd…2449backed Utah47c692.5$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed Utah50c691.98$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Senators55c594.41$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3391…0c06backed Senators52c593$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators53c544.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah46c541.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah46c504.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Senators51c503.91$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Utah44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa018…5dcfbacked Utah46c431.93$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8301…ef9ebacked Senators54c380.8$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah46c380.39$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah47c354.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.041,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c39…004dbacked Senators54c350.87$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9bb…38d0backed Utah46c339.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Utah46c292$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Senators50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Senators53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators76c197.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Senators54c192.75$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a3…09e6backed Utah47c147.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd6d…5720backed Utah47c142.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.181050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4689…c1b3backed Utah49c142.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…d17cbacked Utah48c141.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Senators53c138.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.172864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0338…3917backed Senators54c138.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Utah46c135.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Utah48c129.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4c…b708backed Utah52c126.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e87…a5b0backed Senators53c125.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2453…283bbacked Senators56c122.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x259a…70e8backed Senators53c119.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb590…36babacked Senators53c119.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Utah48c118.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.072045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Senators53c116.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5fd…b794backed Senators56c115.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed Senators53c113.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Senators53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.217062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Utah46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Senators53c108.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.962263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah46c106.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4de…2beabacked Utah49c105.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d0…fea8backed Utah49c105.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Utah48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Utah48c104.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3305…f25fbacked Senators53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe539…a3afbacked Utah49c102.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebbd…5dafbacked Utah48c102.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0227…750bbacked Utah48c102.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.021225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Utah46c99.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…f01fbacked Senators53c99.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Utah48c97.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c8…d6d7backed Utah48c97.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2c…b96cbacked Senators54c96.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.613138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6578…cdadbacked Senators53c96.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah45c94.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed6…bb83backed Senators54c94.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab1…5aa5backed Senators53c92.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2873…e190backed Senators53c91.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d0…3319backed Senators55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa772…c990backed Senators54c83.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-58.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26db…cdf6backed Utah49c83.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Senators64c78.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Senators54c74.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.119852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Senators54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.078863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cad…79b7backed Senators54c65.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Utah46c59.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.593545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Senators56c59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Utah48c56.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.183729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Senators54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators53c53.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…5391backed Senators53c51.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53cc…b4c9backed Utah52c47.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe087…0734backed Senators48c47.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5714…30fdbacked Senators54c45.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Senators53c45.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.42250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…48f7backed Senators55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…41c4backed Senators48c44.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…375dbacked Senators52c43.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f0…5ba5backed Senators54c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.